Breakdown: LA Tech

Game Information

Time: November 7, 2015 2:30 pm CT

Location: Joe Aillet Stadium, Ruston, Louisiana

Line: LA Tech -30

TV: Fox College Sports

Radio: KHYI 95.3 FM KNTU 88.1 FM KGAF 1580 AM

Weather: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Cloudy, with a high near 61. North wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.


Team Information

LA Tech

North Texas


North Texas
 
LA Tech
National Rank
Category
National Rank
111
Scoring Offense
24
119
Scoring Defense
63
36
Rushing Offense
75
117
Rushing Defense
8
104
Passing Offense
18
116
Passing Defense
113
82
Total Offense
26
122
Total Defense
48
98
Yards Per Play
24
115
OPP Yards Per Play
51
114
Points Per Play
26
111
OPP Points Per Play
68
77
3rd Conversion
62
128
Opp 3rd Conversion
70
89
QB Sacked %
27
73
Def Sack %
75
113
TO Margin
50
Advanced Stat
North Texas Defensive Rank
LA Tech Offensive Rank
121
FEI
36
127
S&P
16
North Texas Offensive Rank
LA Tech Defensive Rank
114
FEI
28
120
S&P
55
North Texas DL Rank
LA Tech OL Rank
111
85
North Texas OL Rank
LA Tech DL Rank
104
14
North Texas Field Position Rank
LA Tech Field Position Rank
60
54
North Texas Overall Rank
LA Tech Overall Rank
124
FEI
49
128
S&P
28
127
Combined
39
Play Call Percentages
North Texas Offense
LA Tech Defense
Run %
Down
Run %
58%

1st Down
51%

52%

2nd Down
46%

36%

3rd Down
30%

North Texas Offense
LA Tech Defense
Pass %
Down
Pass %
42%

1st Down
49%

48%

2nd Down
54%

64%

3rd Down
70%

North Texas Defense
LA Tech Offense
Run %
Down
Run %
62%

1st Down
48%

58%

2nd Down
55%

48%

3rd Down
35%

North Texas Defense
LA Tech Offense
Pass %
Down
Pass %
38%

1st Down
52%

43%

2nd Down
45%
52%

3rd Down
65%


Yards Per Play
North Texas Offense
LA Tech Defense
Average
Down
Average
5.4
1st Down
5.9
4.7
2nd Down
5.1
4.5
3rd Down
5.3
North Texas Offense
LA Tech Defense
Run
Down
Run
5.0
1st Down
4.1
5.5
2nd Down
2.9
2.3
3rd Down
2.3
North Texas Offense
LA Tech Defense
Pass
Down
Pass
5.8
1st Down
7.7
3.7
2nd Down
7.0
5.7
3rd Down
6.6
North Texas Defense
LA Tech Offense
Average
Down
Average
6.3
1st Down
6.9
8.0
2nd Down
6.2
6.9
3rd Down
6.7
North Texas Defense
LA Tech Offense
Run
Down
Run
4.7
1st Down
4.8
7.4
2nd Down
5.7
5.2
3rd Down
1.8
North Texas Defense
LA Tech Offense
Pass
Down
Pass
9.0
1st Down
8.8
8.9
2nd Down
6.9
8.5
3rd Down
9.4
QB Rating By Down
North Texas Offense
LA Tech Defense
Down
111.48
1st Down
135.29
74.4
2nd Down
131.53
98.42
3rd Down
136.33
North Texas Defense
LA Tech Offense
Down
168.7
1st Down
155.67
175.85
2nd Down
118.41
167.38
3rd Down
166.76
Inside the Matchups
NORTH TEXAS PASS DEFENSE
VS.
LA Tech OFFENSE
Edge
Symbol 2
Why
Jeff Driskel has been really good this year. He is going to be tough to stop for North Texas. Plus you have to take into account that he is surrounded by a good ground game and talent at the WR position. Trent Taylor has been outstanding and is Driskel’s favorite WR. Taylor is 3rd in the nation in receptions with 72.
NORTH TEXAS RUN DEFENSE
VS.
LA Tech RUN OFFENSE
Edge
Symbol 2
Why
Kenneth Dixon hasn’t been great this year, but he has been efficient. Dixon’s ability has really opened up the Tech passing game. Dixon hasn’t been good against North Texas in the past, but he hasn’t had a QB as good as Driskel playing alongside him. Dixon should have no problem hitting 100 yards.
NORTH TEXAS DEFENSIVE LINE
VS.
LA Tech OFFENSIVE LINE
Edge
Symbol 2
Why
The North Texas DL has steadily been getting better, but they face a pretty good LA Tech OL this week. I’m not sure that North Texas has the pass rush to really affect Driskel. I also don’t think the Mean Green will be able get off blocks to clog up rushing lanes for Dixon. It’s going to be a tough day for the UNT DL
NORTH TEXAS PASS OFFENSE
VS.
LA Tech PASS DEFENSE
Edge
Symbol 2
Why
Louisiana Tech is vulnerable in the pass game, but North Texas has really struggled to establish consistency with it. In all fairness to DaMarcus Smith he has yet to have a normal week until now. I expect him to finally connect on a few deep passes, but I think LA Tech wins this match-up.
NORTH TEXAS RUN OFFENSE
VS.
LA Tech RUN DEFENSE
Symbol 2
Edge
Why
This is the best run defense NT has faced since the Iowa game. Tech plays fast and downhill. The North Texas run offense may be the best in CUSA now that DaMarcus Smith and Jeffrey Wilson have got in a grove. Clearly this is the best match-up of the game. I feel like North Texas should find some success, but I’m not sure the Mean Green can eclipse the 200 yard mark again.
NORTH TEXAS OFFENSIVE LINE
VS.
LA Tech DEFENSIVE LINE
Edge
Symbol 2
Why
The North Texas OL has been road grading the past few weeks. They’ve used their athleticism and have gotten to where we thought they’d be when the season started. NT still struggles with blitz pick up and pass protection. Vernon Butler and Jaylon Ferguson have been straight dominating. Butler will be drafted to the NFL. Ferguson is just a redshirt freshman. Both of those guys will be a tough match-up.
NORTH TEXAS SPECIAL TEAMS
VS.
LA Tech SPECIAL TEAMS
Symbol 2
Edge
Why
The North Texas punting game is STRONG and NT finally got a decent punt return last week. Maybe Tre Johnson will continue to get more comfortable with his role as PR.
Player Ratings
North Texas
LA Tech
Player/Overall Rating
Position
Player/Overall Rating
DaMarcus Smith - 73
QB vs QB
Jeff Driskel - 87
Jeffery Wilison - 83
RB vs RB
Kenneth Dixon - 84
Carlos Harris - 81
WR vs CB
Bryson Abraham - 79
Chad Davis - 70
CB vs WR
Trent Taylor. - 80
Sam Rice - 80
G vs DT
Vernon Butler - 90
Simulated Stats
North Texas Total Offense353 Yards
North Texas Pass Offense173 Yards
North Texas Run Offense180 Yards
LA Tech Total Offense505 Yards
LA Tech Pass Offense301 Yards
LA Tech Run Offense204 Yards
Computer Final Score
LA Tech37
North Texas22

GAME PLAN FOR VICTORY 

How LA Tech will Win

For Tech its really simple. Stay balance on offense, because North Texas should have trouble with stopping both the run and pass. On defense you can attack North Texas a couple of ways. You can either play Cover 0 forcing the WR’s to beat press man. I dont think the NT WRs can win those battles. The only thing you risk by doing this is turning your back on DaMarcus Smith who is a big time running threat. Tech could also give NT lots of zone looks forcing Smith to go through multiple reads, which we know he struggles with. Id imagine you’ll see Tech do a little of both. Man on early downs and zone on 3rd down. I also think Tech will have some sort of a spy on Smith.

How North Texas will Win

The Mean Green’s chances rest on the arm of DaMarcus Smith in this game. Tech will be selling out to stop the run. The Bulldogs arent that strong in the secondary and could be susceptible to getting beat over the top. Smith has the talent get the ball to open WR’s, but he is struggling with accuracy and timing. If Smith can hit on a few big passes down the field it will most likely open up the running game. North Texas also must use Tech’s aggressiveness against them. I think NT should use some screen action and run a reverse early to keep the defense guessing. On the defensive end the game rests on the DL. Those big guys have be able to get pressure on Driskel and clog up the run lanes. Tech is a team that NT cant really blitz, because they need all the extra guys they can get in coverage. Driskel is too good to be blitzed a lot. Finally North Texas needs big plays from the special teams and needs to force a few turnovers to have any chance.


CUSA/NCAA WEEKLY PICKS

LA Tech over North Texas ( Picking North Texas to cover)

Rice over UTEP

FIU over Charlotte

WKU over FAU

Marshall over MTSU

UTSA over ODU