Break Down: Marshall

Game Information

Time: October 24, 2015 2:30 pm CT

Location: Joan C. Edwards Stadium, Huntington, WV

Line: Marshall -29

TV: Fox Sports 


Radio: KHYI 95.3 FM KNTU 88.1 FM KGAF 1580 AM

Weather: A chance of showers, mainly after 3pm. Increasing clouds, with a high near 75. South wind 5 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.


Team Information

Marshall

North Texas


North Texas
 
Marshall
National Rank
Category
National Rank
113
Scoring Offense
52
125
Scoring Defense
19
50
Rushing Offense
58
118
Rushing Defense
81
77
Passing Offense
104
119
Passing Defense
40
75
Total Offense
102
125
Total Defense
58
87
Yards Per Play
97
122
OPP Yards Per Play
18
114
Points Per Play
45
122
OPP Points Per Play
11
68
3rd Conversion
109
128
Opp 3rd Conversion
53
79
QB Sacked %
78
70
Def Sack %
74
116
TO Margin
31
Play Call Percentages
North Texas Offense
Marshall Defense
Run %
Down
Run %
55%

1st Down
59%

52%

2nd Down
54%

35%

3rd Down
46%

North Texas Offense
Marshall Defense
Pass %
Down
Pass %
45%

1st Down
41%

48%

2nd Down
46%

65%

3rd Down
54%

North Texas Defense
Marshall Offense
Run %
Down
Run %
65%

1st Down
60%

56%

2nd Down
56%

46%

3rd Down
41%

North Texas Defense
Marshall Offense
Pass %
Down
Pass %
35%

1st Down
40%

44%

2nd Down
44%
54%

3rd Down
59%


Yards Per Play
North Texas Offense
Marshall Defense
Average
Down
Average
5.3
1st Down
4.0
4.4
2nd Down
5.3
4.5
3rd Down
4.4
North Texas Offense
Marshall Defense
Run
Down
Run
4.8
1st Down
3.4
5.0
2nd Down
4.5
0.9
3rd Down
4.6
North Texas Offense
Marshall Defense
Pass
Down
Pass
5.9
1st Down
4.9
3.7
2nd Down
6.3
6.5
3rd Down
4.3
North Texas Defense
Marshall Offense
Average
Down
Average
6.8
1st Down
5.3
8.9
2nd Down
6.2
7.6
3rd Down
3.6
North Texas Defense
Marshall Offense
Run
Down
Run
5.1
1st Down
4.3
8.0
2nd Down
5.8
5.2
3rd Down
3.0
North Texas Defense
Marshall Offense
Pass
Down
Pass
10.0
1st Down
6.7
10.2
2nd Down
6.8
9.7
3rd Down
4.0
QB Rating By Down
North Texas Offense
Marshall Defense
Down
113.15
1st Down
82.71
70.67
2nd Down
122.59
113.22
3rd Down
70.89
North Texas Defense
Marshall Offense
Down
189.13
1st Down
139.4
188.81
2nd Down
131.2
191.53
3rd Down
76.38
Inside the Matchups
NORTH TEXAS PASS DEFENSE
VS.
MARSHALL OFFENSE
Edge
Symbol 2
Why
The North Texas pass defense has been nonexistent in previous weeks. With no pass rush to speak of Chase Litton should have enough time to find open WR’s.
NORTH TEXAS RUN DEFENSE
VS.
MARSHALL MISS RUN OFFENSE
Edge
Symbol 2
Why
The North Texas run defense has been sliced and diced recently. Marshall has a physical rushing attack and has a plethora of RBs to get the job done against NT.
NORTH TEXAS DEFENSIVE LINE
VS.
MARSHALL OFFENSIVE LINE
Edge
Symbol 2
Why
No pass rush and a DL not get off blocks doesn’t bode well for North Texas.
NORTH TEXAS PASS OFFENSE
VS.
MARSHALL PASS DEFENSE
Edge
Symbol 2
Why
Marshall has a salty pass defense holding QBs to under 50% completion percentage. Marshall also ranks in the top 15 for INTs. DaMarcus Smith is likely going to struggle.
NORTH TEXAS RUN OFFENSE
VS.
MARSHALL RUN DEFENSE
Edge
Symbol 2
Why
I think North Texas will find some success against Marshall in the run game, but I’m not sure its going to be a whole lot.
NORTH TEXAS OFFENSIVE LINE
VS.
MARSHALL DEFENSIVE LINE
Edge
Symbol 2
Why
The Marshall DL is playing at high level right now. The UNT OL is struggling. Not a great matchup.
NORTH TEXAS SPECIAL TEAMS
VS.
MARSHALL SPECIAL TEAMS
Symbol 2
Edge
Why
Blake Macek has been a baller. Kidsy is due. I like Bradley to bust a big return this game.
Player Ratings
North Texas
Marshall
Player/Overall Rating
Position
Player/Overall Rating
DaMarcus Smith - 73
QB vs QB
Chase Litton - 76
Jeffery Wilison - 78
RB vs RB
Devon Johnson - 80
Carlos Harris - 82
WR vs CB
Corey Tindal - 81
Chad Davis - 71
CB vs WR
Davonte Allen - 73
Michael Banogu - 74
OL vs DE
Gary Thompson - 79
Jarrian Roberts - 76
DE vs OL
Clint Van Horn - 85

GAME PLAN FOR VICTORY 

How Marshall will Win

Establish the run game. Force DaMarcus Smith to beat them from the pocket. Dont give North Texas multiple chances with turnovers. Dont fall into the trap of overlooking North Texas. Hit the Mean Green early and keep hitting them, until they pack up shop.

How North Texas will Win

North Texas will win if they are able to slow down the Herd’s powerful rushing attack. If NT takes away Marshall’s ability to run it will put more pressure on the freshman QB to be a play maker. North Texas will also have to find ways to be explosive in the special teams area. A big return for a TD or a blocked punt would help create momentum. Basically North Texas is dying for things to go right. Positive things need to happen early for North Texas to have any shot.


CUSA/NCAA WEEKLY PICKS

Marshall over North Texas, but North Texas covers

Rice over Army

Southern Miss over Charlotte

La Tech over MTSU

FIU over Old Dominion

FAU over UTEP

LSU over WKU