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Football

House Cleaning: Seth Littrell Fires Bodie Reeder and Troy Reffett

“It is difficult any time we don’t meet our own expectations as coaches and this was one of those years. I have a lot of respect for Troy and Bodie and I’m grateful for their passion for this program and their leadership of our student-athletes. Sometimes a different perspective is needed for the growth of a program, and I feel like this is one of those times.”

There you have it in press release form. The Mean Green head coach changed coordinators just one year after hiring Bodie Reeder to replace new USC coordinator Graham Harrell.

Littrell (and Fine) has praised Reeder for his football acumen and Littrell in particular remarked at the shared philosophy that would benefit the team. “I want to be more involved and Bodie really understands what I like to do with tempo and being aggressive” he said at league media days.

North Texas had some big numbers at times but ultimately the poor execution that lingered and contributed to early non-conference losses was present into conference play. NT went scoreless in the fourth vs UAB and struggled in the red zone vs Rice.

While injury contributed to the issues and coaching changes at WR, QB/OC, and RB no doubt effected the group, a change at the top makes sense.

Meanwhile, a similar story can be told for Troy Reffett, whom Littrell defended often over the four years here. The head coach wanted an attacking, aggressive defense and there were glimpses of that vision realized last year when EJ Ejiya, Brandon Garner, Nate Brooks, and Kemon Hall led a defense that got sacks and forced turnovers.

This year the roster is young and mistakes can be attributed to youth and inexperience. The overall fact is that the defense still made a lot of mistakes and the game plan was inflexible. NT brought a lot of pressure but it did not put the defense in a great position.

Example: NT bringing extra pressure vs Rice and QB Tom Stewart being unaffected by it, and finding his big WR in a size mismatch.

As with most things, when it worked it looked genius. When it did not, it looked awful. I do not know that Reffett lost his job because of the performance this year, but maybe because of the overall direction of the program.

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Football

Athletic: Bodie Reeder Out As Offensive Coordinator

Chris Vannini of the Athletic reports that Bodie Reeder is out as coordinator immediately following a mistake-filled showing in his first year in Denton.

More to come.

Vannini updated his report to include Troy Reffett as well.

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Football Football Recaps

2017 New Orleans Bowl: Troy 50 North Texas 30

Let us get some instant reaction:

You can get the first and second half reactions here.

The Game

It is important to remember that NT had crawled back in this game before completely falling apart in the second.

The Troy defense was vulnerable in spots but came up big when it counted — that is to say they took full advantage of the turnovers (5!) and killed the game off.

North Texas was chasing the game from the beginning when the defense allowed QB Brandon Silvers to waltz down the field with little pressure and score the first points. After Mason Fine fumbled the ball away they scored again.

NT battled back and got to 20 but only managed three more before the final face-saving TD to end things.

Somewhere in there North Texas put some nice plays together, but nothing like a complete drive and defintely not the crisp offense required to fulfill comeback dreams.

The first interception was unlucky, as the DB deflected the pass to Hunter Reese for the interception. Troy went three plays and scored.

The following drive North Texas went three-and-out.

Then the flood gates opened.

Ashton Preston was beat on a seam route by Tevaris McCormick for 59 yards and a score. Kishawn McClain was held by the play-action in front of him for half a second and that was all that Brandon Silvers needed to sneak the pass in between McClain and Preston and hit his man in stride.

It was 36-20 and NT only managed the FG on the next drive after Mason Fine fumbled again. It was one of the better drives of the game and it featured a couple of nice scrambles from Fine and two great catches from Kelvin Smith.

Still the possession ended with a field goal and that was the second death.

At about 7 minutes left in the game North Texas was at 3.3 yards per play. The defense was allowing big plays, but the second half offense was not helping.

Take away Colton McDonald’s 55-yard scoop and score and this offense only produced 16 points before the last drive of the game.

In whichever scenario you saw this game following, the ones in which there was a winning NT included a better offensive performance.

Mason Fine was sacked 9 times vs FAU and Troy had 5 in the first half of this one. The pressure was half line and half Fine. He began throwing off his back foot and that caused more than a few poor throws.

What it Means

There are no easy answers for when your team is blown out twice in two games. The offensive line has looked leaky, while the explosive offense has been stuck.

While the staff and players will give us coach speak, we can look to the fact that Jeff Wilson is on the sidelines. For as good as Nic Smith and Evan Johnson will be, Wilson is all over the record books for how good he is now.

With Wilson out, and Guyton struggling to regain his full, conference-destroying form from prior to the Hit, this offense has struggled.

These same symptoms were present against Rice — sacks, interceptions, poor drives. At the very least, it will provide the staff fodder for motivating the group next year.

Littrell talks about winning the bowl game as one of the goals. He failed. The team failed. There will be much to learn from this failure in an otherwise successful season.

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Football

2017 Season Preview: Coaching

Seth Littrell did such a swell job that he earned a raise.

Littrell and company did not lose as many games as they should have and that was good. Some of it was the conference, and some was luck, but the rest is rightly attributed to the staff. So they are deserving of their raise and their new gigs respectively.

There is a line of thinking among the Littrell skeptics that his performance was replacement-level and that selling your ideas to a team that went 1-11 is not the most difficult task. This is not completely unreasonable. Crisis change is the easiest flavor of change to sell, and the staff often pulled the “1-11” card on the players when motivating — “That kind of attitude gets you 1-11 right there”. The real work was in in restocking and organizing the roster. The staff showed an eye for evaluation as they picked up contributors even late into fall practice — Jenkins, Hood — securing season-changing talent on either side of the ball.

The challenge now is building on the momentum, blending in the new blood, and keeping the message fresh.

Littrell and OC Graham Harrell will try to show that the offense is wide-open, and is a version of the Air Raid instead of just telling us. While the turnovers and mistakes that plagued the offense last season are generally in the category of ‘coaching’, it takes more than a season to improve the roster and coach up players. QB Mason Fine will have higher expectations put upon him, an we will be able to evaluate Harrell as a QB developer. Harrell is a Texas CFB legend — if not a national one — and his challenge will be in translating that to Fine. It is a more difficult job than most expect.

We should expect to see a smarter team, and not one that manages only to play hard.

To that end, the defense now only has one man running the show: Troy Reffett, the 335 Stack guru who wanted a more aggressive defense than former DC Mike Ekeler was comfortable with. Everyone from Littrell to former defensive players say the new scheme will be more aggressive and exotic.

New faces Chuck Langston, Jeff Koonz, Marc Yellock, and Marty Biagi have some relatively big shoes to fill. While a 5-8 season is not something a coach is particularly proud of, the outgoing coaches all moved up and out partly in recognition of the quality performance they put in. They were generally well-liked all around.

This staff’s self-proclaimed strength is competency in development and having an eye for evaluating talent. As NT has drifted toward the lower levels of the recruiting big boards, this needs to be true for continued success in Denton. The newly stocked roster did not make headlines on national signing day, but it did bring in some fresh recruits with lots of talent at key positions. We may not see the full payoff for their recruitment efforts this season, but we should see some of the new talent shine early on offense.

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Football

The Defense Under Troy Reffett

If you have followed NT football this season, you know that Mike Ekeler was important, but the defense was Troy Reffett’s scheme … sort of. From the preview:

Mike Ekeler and Troy Reffett are bringing a more attacking, flexible, and unpredictable defense. It is the perfect defense to pair with an attacking, up-tempo offense. The emphasis will be on chaos and creating the turnovers that will give the (hopefully) explosive offense the ball.

Reffett coached 3-3-5 at ULM who were known for getting turnovers and getting pressure on the quarterback in a pass-happy league. You might remember his 2012 team that upset No.8 Arkansas and gave Auburn a run into OT the following week. … Nate Brown inherits a talented secondary. Brown played and coached under Reffett at his alma mater ULM and also brings experience with the scheme being implemented.

Ekeler and Reffett were both calling plays for the defense?

The defense — particularly the pass defense — was tremendous at times. The attacking scheme generated sacks, but not enough. Apparently the arrangement between Ekeler and Reffett was one of professionalism, but disagreement. Ekeler was a little more bend-but-don’t break, 4-3 (2 DT), while Reffett is more aggressive and likes three down lineman. Again, going back to his ULM days, this makes sense. The blog and many followers were fans of Mike Ekeler’s play calling, his personality, recruiting ability, and more. We wish him well at his new gig at UNC as he takes over for Gene Chizik.

Make no mistake, *ahem*, the 5-defensive back scheme was always Reffett’s because it was what Seth Littrell wanted. The compromise led to playing the “3-3-5” scheme that was more a “4-2-5” with 3-stack personnel.

To wit:

2016 HOD Bowl Depth Chart — Defense

A note before we continue: Innovation is constant, and modern base defense is a nickel package with either a 2-DT, single gap front or a 3-man, two gap front with varying hybrid linebacker/safety combinations behind them. There is hardly a “right” way or a “pure” scheme. While the 3-3-5 or “3-stack” defense is newish, it is essentially an old 4-3 under formation with speedier players.

I think the compromise Ekeler and Reffett made was up front. NT’s depth chart looks a little different than Reffett’s old ULM ones or a typical 3-stack lineup. For those not versed in the particulars, the Jack position is unusual here. Jacks are usually what you call the rushing/hybrid LB in a 3-4 scheme 1. Last season NT nearly always was bringing four rushers, and the Jack was usually the “fourth” guy. Typically a 3-stack defense will bring four or more rushers, but mix up the rushing backer.

At least in Gary Patterson’s TCU 4-2-5, he will have two different coaches calling plays for the front (the lineman and backers) and the secondary. Chris B Brown at Grantland:

Patterson isn’t the only coach who divorces his fronts from his coverage calls — Bill Belichick is another — but Patterson takes the principle as far as I’ve seen by having different coaches call TCU’s fronts and coverages, in many cases independent of each other. “The best system is to have one guy thinking about how to stop the best run play and the best pass rush, and another guy thinking about the best coverage,” Patterson said in 2006. “That’s the ultimate.”

Here is where we are speculating a bit — was NT doing this exact same thing? Ekeler and Reffett were co-coordinators and each calling a separate part of the defensive scheme makes a ton of sense.

Generally speaking, a 4-2-5 defense will have a typical DE roles — a rushing end, and a strong side end. Teams that run a base 4-3 (meaning with two DTs, as everyone’s base is nickel) will call their rush end Elephant or WDE or LEO (Linebacker/End). 2

While a lot of the defense was not exactly what I expected coming into the year, I chalked it up to the transitional weirdness of having players recruited for a 4-3 playing a 3-3. This experimental 4-2/3-3 hybrid — if it was even that — was successful at times, but terrible at others.

So What Does This All Mean?

Reffett at DC likely means a true 3-stack look instead of calling a 4-2-5 a 3-3-5. It means Josh Wheeler is likely going to be a more traditional LB or move to DE.

To wit:

E: Ends. Essentially stay the same.
N: Nose. Stays the same.
M: Mike LB, needs to stuff the run.
R: “Rob” LB, needs to be a great athlete.
L: “Lou” or “Luke” LB, needs to be a great athlete.
$: Spur, an outside LB/SS type. Plays the strong side, matches up with TEs. (Tyreke Davis?)
B: Bandit, a safety/nickleback. The “Nick” in the current terminology. Dee Baulkman/Preston.
F: Free safety. Great tackler.
C: Unchanged.

Other than some personnel changes and changing where guys are standing, the main thing is more versatility and more aggression. When Josh Wheeler lined up at Jack, it was clear what our intentions were.

We will likely see less two-high safety looks with (perhaps) KiShawn McClain in the Bandit role that Jabril Peppers was originally recruited for in Michigan’s 3-3-5.

Two takeaways from this:

  1. I am excited about the change
  2. I feel a little silly for not noticing the 4-2-5 thing earlier. I chalked it up to the personnel, the transition, and when we played Army: the matchups. At best, it was a clever attempt at a hybrid, at worst merely a compromise that neither coach was fully comfortable with. Again, the differences between a modern 4-3 and a 3-3-5/4-2-5 are slight 3 but I imagine it was the little tiny details that are different that caused the rumored issues.

Who said the offseason was boring?


  1. Reffett coached in a 3-4 scheme early in his career. 
  2. UTSA calls theirs ‘SAM’, confusing everyone – link. Southern Miss calls their’s wolf 
  3. Also TCU has a 3-3-5 package they call ‘nickel’. All 4-down lineman teams have one. Similarly, most 3-4 / 3-3-5 squads have a 4-DL package. See earlier about the ‘Jack’ position. 
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Football

Football Staff Changes – **Updated Again**

SB Nation rightfully points out that the post-signing day shuffle is anti-athlete.

As a practical matter, it makes perfect sense for everyone to perform their job for the program and the school and recruit the best guys they can. However, it is naive to think these coaches are selling the kids on the benefits of the campus and not on the relationship with the coaches. Tom Herman is out here telling you it is about the relationships.

Now that players have inked away their rights to change their mind without penalty, the coaching staffs that have recruited them now begin to look out for their own interests. This could be resolved if we gave players a bit more agency in the process, and schools were able to incentivize them beyond a stipend and a nice gym.

North Texas already lost offensive line coach Brad Davis to Florida, and the little birdies are telling Vito and this blog that one of the defensive staff is leaving — Ekeler? Reffett?

If it actually comes to pass that the defensive staff changes a bit my gut — and those little birdies — tell me that Ekeler will be the one going and Troy Reffett will be the one staying. The 3-3-5 scheme is his specialty, and his attaching, blitzing philosophy is in line with what Seth Littrell has in mind.

UPDATE Feb 9th 12:47pmFootball Scoop reports that it is indeed Ekeler.

North Texas: With Mike Ekeler leaving for North Carolina, sources tell FootballScoop the Mean Green will promote assistant head coach/safeties coach Troy Reffett to defensive coordinator. Reffett served as co-defensive coordinator in 2016. North Texas also plans to hire former Cincinnati co-defensive coordinator/linebackers coach Jeff Koonz to coach linebackers.

Koonz’s resume is good, as he’s coached under some good mentors including defensive guru Gene Chizik (He was once a really highly rated coordinator, y’all). He coached at winning programs (Auburn in their undefeated year, Texas Nat’l Title,) at La Tech, Iowa, and now Cinci. The range of experience at places is good, and so is his time under quality coaches.

From his bio
COACHING CAREER
Year: School – Position
2003: Auburn – Student Assistant
2004: Auburn – Defensive GA
2005-06: Texas – Defensive GA
2006: Texas – Linebackers
2007-08: Iowa State – Secondary
2009: Texas – Quality Control
2010-13: Louisiana Tech – Linebackers
2014: Cincinnati – Safeties
2015: Cincinnati – Linebackers
2016: Cincinnati – Co-Defensive Coordinator/LB

Update 2.9.17 12:58pm — Football Scoop also reporting Derrick LeBlanc took a gig at Kentucky:

Kentucky: Sources tell Football Scoop North Texas defensive line coach Derrick LeBlanc is expected to join the Kentucky staff in a similar capacity.

I agree … mostly. Generally speaking you want coaches to stay for longer than a year. At a place like Oklahoma, where Bob Stoops has been coaching for ages, a quick DC change is not a huge deal. At NT, where the entire staff is new, this could have bigger ramifications. As I mentioned on the podcast this is part of the job: finding players, and replacement players and finding staff, and finding replacement staff. Seth Littrell did a good job the first time around. Let us hope he does the same this next time.

Tally

Out

  • OL coach Brad Davis — to Florida
  • Co-DC/LB coach Mike Ekeler (RIP Fake Mike) — to UNC
  • DL coach Derrick LeBlanc — to Kentucky
  • ST/RB coach Tommy Perry by mutual decision

In

  • LB coach Jeff Koonz (reportedly).
  • Troy Reffett slides over to the sole DC spot, and probably will have some big input on the hires for the defense. He already has a guy he coached at the DB coaching spot in Nate Brown
  • ST coach Matt Biagi
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2016 Football Season Recap

I flirted with the idea of recapping the season after UTEP, and then again after the HOD Bowl. Niether felt right, as we were too close to the results.

We just signed the next class, and so a look back is timely, as Spring camp is near and we will essentially begin looking toward the 2017 season.

This post is essentially a converstation with the MGN 2016 season preview and so you might want to start there. It isn’t necessary but it might help put you in the frame of mind for reading this.

Overview

You might have to think really hard to the feeling everyone had coming into the season. Seth Littrell was hired by Rick Villareal and the latter’s poor reputation among we Mean Green fans cut into the goodwill we gave Seth Littrell. North Carolina football had a good-to-great season (for them) and Seth Littrell was right near what we wanted. There was some talk about TCU’s Doug Meacham (current Kansas OC) but NT settled on the guy from Oklahoma.

NT was coming off an embarrassing season in which the defense was routinely roasted for gobs of yardage on the ground, while the offense was solely relied on DaMarcus Smith and Jeff Wilson. It was bad.

The hope, such as there was, involved knowledge of two things about this game: college football is unpredictable, and CUSA is not very good.

Let us acknowledge that that hope is small and so it was understandable to see the prediction industry1 look unfavorably upon Littrell’s group. Every advanced analytic pointed to a best case scenario of about two wins.

What happened? Five wins and a bowl berth. Most incredibly, NT reached four wins in late October, beating Army on the road. This was the peak of the season. Army was a surprisingly good team this season, and that only further helped boost the quality of the win (as did Army beating Navy, and then only narrowly beating NT in the bowl).

The essential bits of information from 2016 were these: The staff has some competence, the defense in 2015 was demoralized (coaching matters), there is talent on this roster.

Thankfully, we did not have to enjoy the season by picking out microcosmic development in the players (there was that, but not only that) but with also wins and a bowl.

Coaching

I declared Littrell needed patience as he learned on the job. He improved with the less essential aspects as the season went on — press conferences, extemporaneously speaking etc — but we still are waiting on how he recruits, maintains a program, deals with expectations.

For each time the team was impressive in preparation, resilient, competitive, they had an equal number where they were not. They always played hard on game day, but Littrell himself bemoaned the lack of attention to detail in practice. Habits take time to break, and NT had a habit of losing and giving up. As the staff brings in more of their players, this aspect should be improved.

Harrell was really good in spots, and questionable in others. Overall his “mistakes” came from a place where he believed in his players to execute. I can get behind that. So much was made of McCarney’s overly conservative philosophy, and so I will not complain about Graham Harrell having freshman Mason Fine throw from inside his 10-yard line in the Swamp. There was so much learned in that one play that the risk involved was minimal in long view.

The patience to look at the longer view was what I was asking for. In the moment it is very hard to remember this, as even I was throwing my hands up.

Mike Ekeler and Troy Reffett were an incredible combination. The defense was as advertised: aggressive and attacking. Given this was a transition year — to a new staff, and scheme — there were going to be troubles but nothing overly concerning or unsurprising.

The entire staff did a great job managing mismatched parts and juggling the roster with little or no depth.

Offense

The bar was set so low that even a relatively subtle shift toward the positive side would be hailed as miraculous. And so it was. This kind of philosophical and staff change meant there would be some boom-and-bust instead of a well-oiled machine, but there was too much bust and little in the way of boom. I do not mean to sound overly negative, just descriptive of reality. Even the HOD Bowl performance that was praised — I raved about it also — was pedestrian when put up against similar systems.

A good portion of the issue was in deciding in favor of Mason Fine’s development over Alec Morris’ Savior narrative. Here is where the patience of the staff is evident. The Alec Morris that played in the final four games was decisive, accurate, and pretty solid. If he had made an appearance against UTSA and Army the first time, we might have seen at least one more win and a less-shaky first half effort in West Point.

We would not have learned more about Mason Fine (tough, capable) and Fine would not have gotten valuable development time.

Meanwhile Jeff Wilson was his spectacular self, if oft-injured. Willy Ivery stepped forward and shone brightly before blowing his second and final chance. Turner Smiley finally played like the receiver the magazines thought he would in the last three weeks. Tee Goree made one final spectacular play before breaking team rules. The WR group made the occasional play, but no one was consistently good.

Much of this had to do with the youth of Mason Fine and the shuffling offensive line. Seth Littrell made it clear often that the sacks — Mason Fine was among the most sacked QBs in the nation — were not always the line’s fault. The false-starts and holding that contributed to killing drives was on the line, however.

Still, the offense scored more TDs than last year (again, low bar) and did enough to win in most games. This is all that can be asked of a unit.

The real question here is how much of the necessary Transition Year Pains did we get out way? Was this mostly just a Depth problem? Again, the WRs were poor-to-okay, but does that mean that the addition of Jalen Guyton next year is a problem solver?

That is hard to say. Tyler Wilson is intriguing, Turner Smiley is going to have room to shine and Rico Bussey had himself a day against Army. The rest of the depth chart contains some possibilities and so I am excited.

What about the line? The new class has some potential starters, but they will have their own growing pains to endure. Will the holdovers gel into a cohesive, productive unit?

What I am trying to say here is this: I cannot imagine many more worse scenarios for a new staff to inherit and they produced some decent results from it.2

Defense

In reviewing the 2015 season, the thought that the unit performed so poorly because they did not believe in the staff was stuck in my mind. So I was hopeful that a new staff combined with an influx of fresh talent would improve on things. For the most part, it did.

The staff wanted to play aggressively and attack the passer while manning up on the pass-catchers. When it worked, it looked great. When it failed, we saw a 3rd-and-45 completed, Nate Brooks get roasted, and the front seven gouged for yards.

There were some mistakes that came as a function of the style of defense — when you play press-man, sometimes you will get burned over the top. Others that were mental mistakes — not filling the gaps properly against UTEP. The rest were talent disparities — WKU, La Tech.

From October to December the little injuries that inevitably come up took their toll. The schedule got tougher and everyone had film on Ekeler’s men and so the element of surprise was gone, with the best offenses and injuries piling up. These are not excuses, but the challenges that come up in any season with every team.

The idea behind the 3-3-5 is speed and multiplicity. NT had the latter but was held back by the limited footspeed at times. Army, La Tech, WKU all took advantage of the edges. The staff recruited more speed — Tyreke Davis is a step toward that idea — but there were no obvious game-changers here. Improvement will come from the normal growth as individual players and from familiarity with the scheme.

This is not a bad thing. Skladay’s teams showed a similar improvement-but-with-mistakes in his first seasons before it all came together — talent + scheme + fortune — in that 2013 season. The ideal is the NT team that harassed Marshall, Army (in Oct), and Southern Miss, racking up turnovers because of QB pressure. Or the one that almost wrangled in SMU’s Matt Davis, or picked off Matt Davis, sacked UTEP’s QB, and nearly chased LaTech’s guys into turnovers.

Given that modern football is heavily weighted toward offense, NT has the right style of defense to compete. Everyone outside of Alabama gave up big yards and even they got roasted in the title game. Good offense beats good defense in this game, so the defense that can force a turnover is better than one that bends but does not break.

Special Teams and Other

Tommy Perry left the program. He had a mixed reputation among we fans. Eric Keena, Trevor Moore performed well under his watch, and occasionally his special teams units looked really good. While the depth chart sapped some of his talent, he never could find a solid returner without issues.

This year there were no recurring major issues. Keena was great although he had that snafu against UTEP. He made up for it by converting a couple of huge 4th down conversions — one v Marshall, and the other in the bowl game.

Trevor Moore had a huge clutch kick in the bowl game and we should be grateful.

If there is any part of a team that is indicative of the raw talent available, it is here. There is a little bit of scheme — staying in one’s lane, minding a fake etc — but a good portion of kick coverage is sprinting down the field and shedding blocks. At NT’s best — again 2013 — the squad was the deepest and the starters played on Special teams. Marcus Trice, et all were blocking kicks and starting WR Brelan Chancellor was returning them for TDs.

Given the circumstances, it is not surprising that the unit was largely well-coached but not particularly special.

Recruiting

Greg Tepper called the NT class underrated, and that is fair. It certainly will not assuage the undercurrent of disappointment among the message board horde, but NT did a good job of addressing needs. The offensive line that was a question mark all season? Well NT went out and got five (and a sixth blue shirt) players. The WR crew suffered attrition and lack of an outstanding playmaker. North Texas went out and recruited three WRs highlighted by Jalen Guyton (also Evan Johnson could perhaps play some H or Y). The grabbed some speed at other positions. This is on top of the blueshirt haul that came before the season started that netted Eric Jenkins and Demonte Hood.

There is hole to dig out of, but at this level that is an fact of life. Quality recruiting at the most important positions — QB, OL, DL — is what is important. Mac whiffled badly at QB and suffered the consequences. While the class is not highly rated, the focus on OL, QB, and DL is heartening.

Grading on the curve that is comparison to Mac’s final two years, the Littrell QBs have produced at a higher level. Both Mason Fine and Alec Morris performed solidly. Mason Fine has room and time for improvement while Cade Pearson comes in to challenge him.

None of this is to say we should not be concerned that UTSA, FAU, and FIU are leading the recruiting battles, but attracting the right players — as Littrell so often says — is more important. We will have to wait to find out if these 18 are the right players and what that means. To me, that means a about six turn into future starters/maybe all-conference players, six into important contributors, and the rest graduate with no problems.


  1. Read: The 1-122 predictions, the breakdowns, DCTF, SI, etc 
  2. One of the fun things about being a long-time NT follower is that we have seen most if not all the terrible scenarios. All the QBs injured? Seen it. QB that cannot throw? Seen it. Wasted talent? Yep. And this is the last decade.