Breakdown: Tennessee

Game Information

Time: November 14, 2015 11:00 am CT

Location: Neyland Stadium, Knoxville, TN

Line: Tenn -41

TV: SEC Network

Radio: KHYI 95.3 FM KNTU 88.1 FM KGAF 1580 AM

Weather: Sunny, with a high near 52.


Team Information

Tennessee

North Texas


North Texas
 
Tennessee
National Rank
Category
National Rank
112
Scoring Offense
39
122
Scoring Defense
58
51
Rushing Offense
25
120
Rushing Defense
53
99
Passing Offense
72
116
Passing Defense
95
88
Total Offense
45
124
Total Defense
74
106
Yards Per Play
53
118
OPP Yards Per Play
68
114
Points Per Play
44
116
OPP Points Per Play
47
79
3rd Conversion
13
128
Opp 3rd Conversion
13
61
QB Sacked %
78
84
Def Sack %
70
118
TO Margin
76
Advanced Stat
North Texas Defensive Rank
Tennessee Offensive Rank
119
FEI
25
124
S&P
34
North Texas Offensive Rank
Tennessee Defensive Rank
118
FEI
36
118
S&P
32
North Texas DL Rank
Tennessee OL Rank
109
43
North Texas OL Rank
Tennessee DL Rank
115
14
North Texas Field Position Rank
Tennessee Field Position Rank
73
12
North Texas Overall Rank
Tennessee Overall Rank
125
FEI
19
128
S&P
26
127
Combined
20
Play Call Percentages
North Texas Offense
Tennessee Defense
Run %
Down
Run %
57.5%

1st Down
58%

52%

2nd Down
54%

35%

3rd Down
37%

North Texas Offense
Tennessee Defense
Pass %
Down
Pass %
42.5%

1st Down
42%

48%

2nd Down
46%

65%

3rd Down
63%

North Texas Defense
Tennessee Offense
Run %
Down
Run %
62%

1st Down
72%

58%

2nd Down
58%

48%

3rd Down
43%

North Texas Defense
Tennessee Offense
Pass %
Down
Pass %
38%

1st Down
28%

43%

2nd Down
42%
52%

3rd Down
57%


Yards Per Play
North Texas Offense
Tennessee Defense
Average
Down
Average
5.0
1st Down
5.7
4.8
2nd Down
5.6
4.5
3rd Down
4.6
North Texas Offense
Tennessee Defense
Run
Down
Run
4.8
1st Down
4.5
5.6
2nd Down
4.6
2.1
3rd Down
2.6
North Texas Offense
Tennessee Defense
Pass
Down
Pass
5.4
1st Down
7.2
4.0
2nd Down
6.7
5.8
3rd Down
5.9
North Texas Defense
Tennessee Offense
Average
Down
Average
6.6
1st Down
5.3
8.3
2nd Down
5.7
6.9
3rd Down
5.7
North Texas Defense
Tennessee Offense
Run
Down
Run
5.1
1st Down
4.7
7.3
2nd Down
4.6
5.2
3rd Down
3.5
North Texas Defense
Tennessee Offense
Pass
Down
Pass
8.9
1st Down
6.9
9.7
2nd Down
7.3
8.4
3rd Down
7.3
QB Rating By Down
North Texas Offense
Tennessee Defense
Down
104.78
1st Down
125.05
79.98
2nd Down
119.04
99.68
3rd Down
104.2
North Texas Defense
Tennessee Offense
Down
163.97
1st Down
127.68
179.01
2nd Down
141.66
163.26
3rd Down
130.16
Inside the Matchups
NORTH TEXAS PASS DEFENSE
VS.
TENNESSEE OFFENSE
Edge
Symbol 2
Why
Josh Dobbs has been pretty impressive his last 4 games and that should continue against North Texas. Tennessee doesn’t have any world beaters on the outside and really doesn’t get many big plays out their passing game. They rank 71st on pass plays over 20 yards and 87th on pass plays over 10 yards. Well North Texas ranks pretty low on opponents long pass plays. I think Tennessee should be able to generate some big plays early in the game off of play action.
NORTH TEXAS RUN DEFENSE
VS.
TENNESSEE RUN OFFENSE
Edge
Symbol 2
Why
If you scan around the country it would be hard to find a better 1-2 combo than Jalen Hurd and Alvin Kamara. However, the Vols have struggled recently to dominate the line of scrimmage. Also Dobbs is banged up and he is a huge part of their run game. Jalen Hurd hasn’t topped 100 yards in sometime, so there is some hope for North Texas. I think the big player in this game will turn out to be Kamara.
NORTH TEXAS DEFENSIVE LINE
VS.
TENNESSEE OFFENSIVE LINE
Edge
Symbol 2
Why
Tennessee doesn’t have a great OL, but it’s certainly better than the North Texas DL. One thing to watch will be the right side of the Vols OL. It looks like they will be starting 2 true freshmen. That could be an area where North Texas tries to attack.
NORTH TEXAS PASS OFFENSE
VS.
TENNESSEE PASS DEFENSE
Edge
Symbol 2
Why
The North Texas passing game has been a constant work in progress. DaMarcus Smith has showed flashes of being a legitimate passing threat, but he is still struggling to figure out the touch throws. The Tennessee secondary is a bit banged up, and they are capable of being beat. Not sure North Texas can take advantage of their weakness though. Cameron Sutton is a guy to watch out for.
NORTH TEXAS RUN OFFENSE
VS.
TENNESSEE RUN DEFENSE
Symbol 2
Edge
Why
Tennessee will be keying on DaMarcus Smith heavily. The Vols view Smith as the difference in the Mean Green’s run game being either average or good. If the Vols break down on assignments Smith can hurt them. LB Jalen Reeves-Maybin is a beast and has 82 total tackles on the year. The first unit for Tennessee should be able to limit Smith, but the other guys who haven’t seen much playing time for Tenn will likely lose contain on him. Jeff Wilson will try to rebound from a poor showing last week. I think he will have a good game and get near a 100 yards this week.
NORTH TEXAS OFFENSIVE LINE
VS.
TENNESSEE DEFENSIVE LINE
Edge
Symbol 2
Why
Tennessee’s DL should have no problem with the North Texas OL. DE Derek Barnett is the sack leader for the Vols and his is on a tear lately. Another beast to keep an eye on is Kahlil McKenzie. McKenzie is the son of Raiders GM Reggie McKenzie. He isn’t a starter, but should see a lot of time. He has a massive frame at 6-3 344.
NORTH TEXAS SPECIAL TEAMS
VS.
TENNESSEE SPECIAL TEAMS
Edge
Symbol 2
Why
The Vols return game is very special. KR Evan Berry is 1st the nation averaging 40.56 yards per return and 3 TDs. PR Cameron Sutton is 2nd in the nation averaging 19.5 yards per return and 1 TD. I don’t think NT will be kicking anywhere near these guys. Tre Johnson showed some flashes in the return game last week. He should have plenty of opportunities this week again.
Player Ratings
North Texas
Tennessee
Player/Overall Rating
Position
Player/Overall Rating
DaMarcus Smith - 70
QB vs QB
Joshua Dobbs - 83
Jeffery Wilison - 80
RB vs RB
Jalen Hurd - 84
Carlos Harris - 79
WR vs CB
Cameron Sutton - 89
Chad Davis - 69
CB vs WR
Josh Malone - 75
Michael Banogu - 75
G vs DT
Derek Barnett - 80
Simulated Stats
North Texas Total Offense368 Yards
North Texas Pass Offense201 Yards
North Texas Run Offense167 Yards
Tennessee Total Offense469 Yards
Tennessee Pass Offense240 Yards
Tennessee Run Offense228 Yards
Computer Final Score
Tennessee52
North Texas21

GAME PLAN FOR VICTORY 

How Tennessee will Win

Not much to say here. Tennessee just needs to come out and put North Texas away early. Dont give them any belief they belong in Neyland.

How North Texas will Win

Play a perfect game. Get help from the special teams and defense setting up great field position. DaMarcus Smith has to have a break game in the passing attack. Jeff Wilson would need to go over 150. Tennessee will be overlooking North Texas, but even that might not be enough. I wish I could give y’all more here, but I got nothing.


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