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Football

MGN CUSA Power Rankings: Week 8

CUSA Power Rankings Week 8

Categories
Football

Prediction: Western Kentucky vs North Texas

Game Information

Time: October 15, 2015 6:30 pm CT

Location: Apogee Stadium – Denton, TX

Line: WKU -32.5

TV: CBS Sports Network

Radio: KHYI 95.3 FM KNTU 88.1 FM KGAF 1580 AM

Weather: Clear, 90 to 75 degrees. South wind 5 to 10 mph.

Chat:


Team Information

WKU

North Texas


 

Predictions

Adam – Western Kentucky 55 – 21 North Texas

I talked to a couple of folks that cover / follow WKU closely and asked them what the chances were that the Hilltoppers overlook is in this one. They told me very slim. Whereas previous incarnations of that squad might have, this one is more special.

That said, my heart is hoping WKU is looking toward LSU after they destroyed their rivals MTSU. Jeff Brohm is rumored for some coaching gigs which could help by distracting everyone.

But WKU is a legit monster offensively. We’ll give them a game — Canales’s teams do, and that pride will do the rest — but I just can’t predict an upset. I hope I’m dead wrong.

Greg

Look this game isnt about match-ups or stats its about pride at a time of crisis. These types of games never go the way that the experts think. They never do. Western Kentucky wont respect North Texas. WKU has said that North Texas doesnt look good on film. That says it all right there, the WKU players are looking past North Texas straight to LSU. The most important thing for North Texas tonight is to come out and jump right on Western Kentucky. North Texas needs to have something big happen early in the game. Onside kick or touchdown to take the lead an then onside kick. Something needs to happen to fuel the belief. Once that happens its all about battling till the fourth quarter and having a chance. If North Texas can get to the 4th quarter with the lead or within a TD then anything can happen. I havent picked North Texas to win any game at all this year. That changes today and I’m picking NT to win. I just have this feeling that the North Texas team will play beyond belief in front of 1,000 fans. North Texas wont go 0-12. Nope they come out and beat WKU in dramatic fashion.

 

North Texas 38 – Western Kentucky 35

Categories
Football

3 For Thursday (Talking Recruiting)

1. Recruiting going forward this year.

North Texas is kind of in a tough spot right now. The next head coach won’t have much to hold onto as far as guys that North Texas has committed right now. He will have to hit the ground running and try to flip a bunch of guys or get in on those guys that are sitting on the fence. You know there will be a ton of negative recruiting against North Texas the rest of this year. That’s kind of why its important to hire a guy by earlier December. He will need to hire a staff and set his recruiting board. Man the job that next head coach will have is going to be tough.

The current staff probably wont put out many offers if put out any at all. You hope that they still stay in contact with the guys that currently have offers. You hope that the guys like Perry and KP get to stay on the staff, because those the best recruiters UNT has. They could make the transition easier for the new North Texas head coach.


2. What I want the next North Texas Head Coach to focus on.

The number one priority for the next head coach should be fixing the QB issue. Now DaMarcus Smith may prove to be a good QB for next year, but after that its wide open. The next head coach has to focus on getting the next leader of this program. The second priority should be to find as many athletes as you can. It doesnt really matter if they do one thing good. Just get athletes in here and then find them a position when they get here. Patterson makes this work for TCU. I want the next head coach to repair the relationships with the DFW area. Its come up a bunch of times in the past and since McCarney’s termination. If North Texas is going to be great it starts with recruiting DFW.


3. Conversation with Gabe Brooks (Scout.com Midlands Region football recruiting analyst)

A lot of North Texas fans are concerned with the recruiting efforts from this staff specifically this year so far. They aren’t offering a lot of guys and most of the guys they have offered are guys who have loads of offers. What are your thoughts about where North Texas stands right now?

I think it’s a good idea for a school like North Texas to offer very early and very often. At the P5 level, Texas Tech does a good job of differentiating itself in that manner. Kansas has started doing that under David Beaty. Some programs worry about flooding the recruiting market with too many offers and “cheapening” their offer. Well, as a G5, North Texas should have no qualms about pursuing as early as possible on a lot of guys, and that goes back to making sure you’re succeeding in evaluation.

Why do you think North Texas hasn’t been able to land a difference maker at the QB position? Do you think recruits are turned off by the system or just the overall lack of success the North Texas has had in recent years?

Dajon Williams had a chance but that experiment didn’t last very long. I think Damarcus Smith might have a chance, too, but who knows right now. I always go back to North Texas signing Tee Goree and O’Keeron Rutherford and not offering their quarterback, 4,000-yard, 57-touchdown Blake Bogenschutz, who’s now UTSA’s starting QB as a redshirt freshman. I’ll always have a hard time understanding that, especially when the size argument is made. He’s the same height as McNulty and more athletic. Besides, size doesn’t matter quite as much at that position as it has in the past. For example, Devin Williams, the 5-foot-10 Mansfield Timberview QB who just decommitted from Texas State, doesn’t have a UNT offer and could definitely play there.

What model should North Texas adopt to awaken the sleeping giant? 

I think the Houston comparison is the best. Houston’s made a solid program out of hiring up-and-coming offensive minds and replacing them when they leave for greener pastures. UNT and Houston are almost the same enrollment and both have new stadiums and are located in enormous metro areas. UNT can be the U of H of DFW under the right circumstances.

Categories
Football

MGN Coach Search Tracker 2015

MGN Coach Tracker 5

12/5/2015

It is official. We have hired Seth Littrell as the 19th Head Coach in NT history.

12/1/2015

We had a hunch that Athletic Director Rick Villarreal was leaning toward Littrell with his ‘schedule’ hints. Since UNC’s de facto OC is preparing his Tar Heels for the ACC Title game against #1 Clemson, it made sense.

Then came the following tweet from Pete Thamel, and the subsequent ‘me too’ tweets from Joe Shad et al.

https://twitter.com/SIPeteThamel/status/671749480270700544

If Meacham and Littrell were indeed the two finalists, it stands to reason that North Texas will hire Seth Littrell as the new head coach.

The scary thing is that his name and profile could blow up after a successful showing against Clemson. UNC’s offense been ridiculous this season, but few non-die hard college football fans know about it. Exploding for yards and points in a showdown against the number one team in the nation will raise the profile a bit.

I have no illusions about our ability to outspend the competition. North Texas may be able to compete with the majority of G5 schools, but with Houston setting a G5 precedent, I don’t know if little ol’ NT can afford to not lock up the next coach before the money gets ridiculous.

11/30/2015

Update 5:52pm

Mendez updates his post to say “yeah it’s probably Littrell” now.

NT Daily writer Scott Sidway has been tweeting his skepticism of the Meecham stuff all day.

He adds that it seems no one knows who is the favorite except the two people who likely know the decision — RV and Smastresk.

Ultimately, he’s right. Of course the guys that have been actually conducting interviews and the search know who they want. Still, that doesn’t mean we couldn’t have an idea. Both FWST and DRC got burned by their insiders. They trusted their sources enough to publish updates on this, but it seems both were burned a bit. First Vito and his ‘industry’ guys, and Mendez and his ‘sources’.

So we wait. If I had to guess on this, I’d lean toward Seth Littrell, simply because of the ‘schedule’ references Rick Villarreal made (see below at 11/29/15 update). It seems to me (and I’m guesstimating here) that Meacham has the freer schedule of the two. Seth is out here preparing for an ACC title game matchup with Clemson.

Update 4:28pm:

Carlos Mendez, TCU beat writer tweeted the following:

End update


3:50pm

No one knows anything

In the update below, we linked to Vito’s sunday night blog post letting us know that Meacham was the likely candidate but nothing was certain.

This morning he posted an update saying that someone told him Littrell was still in the race.

Later, he posted an afternoon update saying that Meacham was perhaps considering staying at TCU in light of the Cumbie-to-Texas thing. He cites yet another ‘industry source’ that says Meacham will not come here.

Football Scooped chimed in laying out the centrality of this job to a bunch of other positions. Basically, if Meacham comes here, Cumbie may not go to Texas. However, it could be that if Cumbie does leave Meacham may stay at TCU.

Finally Fort Worth Star Telegram TCU beat reporter Carlos Mendez says someone tells him Meacham definitely will come to UNT. Now this was posted before Vito posted his update above that says someone told him Meacham will not be the guy.

So we have conflicting reports that cite conflicting sources. Enjoy!

Update: Football Scoop says slow your roll, Star-Telegram

11/29/2015

Vito reports that it might-could-be-very-well-looks-like we are getting Doug Meacham as our coach. I’m excited.

There are mixed reports, however, so I’m not too excited. We know that we need to hire a guy as soon as possible:

  1. North Texas has had plenty of time to make a decision since firing Dan McCarney in October. Recruiting season is upon us and North Texas needs to salvage a class.
  2. With more coaches being fired in the last few days, and more to come, securing the next guy so he can begin to build his staff is important.
  3. Athletic Director Rick Villarreal has his hands full with this hire, and the fact that the basketball team started off terribly in a make-or-break year for Tony Benford.

It feels like it will be Meacham considering his close DFW ties, his schedule — TCU doesn’t have a conference championship game to play — make it seem likely that he’ll be available to fit the timeline of an announcement.

It is interesting that RV said

“We have done our due diligence and will make a decision soon,” Villarreal said. “All of the things that we have to do are dependent on people’s schedules.”

But I could be reading too much into it. There really is very little information available to go on.

11/28/2015

Football Scoop reports we’ve whittled down the coaching list to two names. Meacham and UNC’s Seth Littrell are the two names. The latter coordinated the explosive UNC offense under Larry Fedora. Littrell himself coached at Indiana under Kevin Wilson, Arizona under Mike Stoops, and Texas Tech under Mike Leach. Both options are Air Raid coaches, given they’ve both been under Leach or Leach proteges (Meacham).

I’m excited about either of these guys, given the offensive backwardness these last two seasons.

11/25/2015

Apparently Riley and Briles said ‘no’. Of the Texas-area candidates it may be between Meacham and Cumbie.

11/23/15 Update:

11/5/2015 Update:

  • The AD has talked with and interviewed several candidates as of Saturday (10/31/2105)
  • The pay scale for the North Texas job has been set. The salary range is between $900K and 1.5 million dollars.
  • Fox Sports Bruce Feldman reported earlier this week that 3 names were in the mix for North Texas Kendall Briles, Mike Norvell, and Everett Withers.
  • Briles initially had no interest in the job, but was warming up to it after North Texas tried really hard to sell it. Well we’ve been told that Briles is no longer interested and basically you can cross him off your wish list.
  • Mike Norvell is a young OC at Arizona St and we’ve been told he really wants the job.
  • Everett Withers is guy who impressed the AD.
  • Lincoln Riley is a name that surfaced Monday night into Tuesday. We’ve been told that UNT officials have talked and met with Lincoln. North Texas came away very impressed with Riley. The interesting part about Riley is that he initiated contact with North Texas. Now there have been conflicting reports surfacing on Riley. Those reports say that Riley and UNT have only talked and that his interest isn’t as strong as we were first told. I tend to lean towards what we reported first. Riley and UNT are too perfect for each other. Are there other power programs interested in Riley? Hard to say right now. His name hasn’t really surfaced for other jobs. He was mentioned last year for the SMU job.

 

 

 

 

Categories
Football

MGN CUSA Power Rankings: Week 7

CUSA Power Rankings Week 7

Categories
Breakdowns Football

The Break Down: Portland St.

Game Information

Time: October 10, 2015 4:00 pm CT

Location: Apogee Stadium – Denton, TX

Line: Portland St -1

TV: Mean Green Webcast

Radio: KHYI 95.3 FM KNTU 88.1 FM KGAF 1580 AM

Weather: Mostly sunny, with a high near 83. North northeast wind 5 to 10 mph.


Team Information

Portland St.

North Texas


North Texas
 
Portland St.
Stat
Category
Stat
16.8
Scoring Offense
26.5
45
Scoring Defense
12.5
163.8
Rushing Offense
205.5
230
Rushing Defense
113
201.2
Passing Offense
111
286.9
Passing Defense
205
365
Total Offense
316.5
516.8
Total Defense
318.2
4.9
Yards Per Play
5
6.9
OPP Yards Per Play
4.4
0.22
Points Per Play
0.42
0.6
OPP Points Per Play
0.17
39%
3rd Conversion
34%
60%
Opp 3rd Conversion
26%
-6
TO Margin
+8
Play Call Percentages
North Texas Offense
Portland St. Defense
Run %
Down
Run %
61%

1st Down
60%

48%

2nd Down
42%

40%

3rd Down
31%


North Texas Offense
Portland St. Defense
Pass %
Down
Pass %
39%

1st Down
40%

52%

2nd Down
58%

60%

3rd Down
69%

North Texas Defense
Portland St. Offense
Run %
Down
Run %
68%

1st Down
82%

52%

2nd Down
73%

50%

3rd Down
55%

North Texas Defense
Portland St. Offense
Pass %
Down
Pass %
32%

1st Down
18%

48%

2nd Down
27%
50%

3rd Down
45%


Yards Per Play
North Texas Offense
Portland St. Defense
Average
Down
Average
5.8
1st Down
4.8
4.0
2nd Down
4.8
4.9
3rd Down
4.3
North Texas Offense
Portland St. Defense
Run
Down
Run
5.4
1st Down
3.9
4.5
2nd Down
4.2
0.9
3rd Down
4.7
North Texas Offense
Portland St. Defense
Pass
Down
Pass
6.4
1st Down
6.2
3.5
2nd Down
5.2
7.6
3rd Down
4.2
North Texas Defense
Portland St. Offense
Average
Down
Average
6.3
1st Down
5.8
7.9
2nd Down
4.9
7.3
3rd Down
5.1
North Texas Defense
Portland St. Offense
Run
Down
Run
4.7
1st Down
5.6
6.7
2nd Down
3.9
5.0
3rd Down
4.1
North Texas Defense
Portland St. Offense
Pass
Down
Pass
9.7
1st Down
7.1
9.3
2nd Down
7.5
9.6
3rd Down
6.3
WR Target
North Texas
Portland St.
Carlos Harris
Paris Penn

25%
28%
Turner Smiley

Thomas Carter

14%
22%
Chris Loving
Trent Riley

10%
17%
Marcus Smith

Darnell Adams

7%
9%
Inside the Matchups
NORTH TEXAS PASS DEFENSE
VS.
PORTLAND ST. PASS OFFENSE
Symbol 2
Edge
Why
If there was a week where you thought North Texas could get its pass defense back in check this would be the week. They are facing a Portland St team that is not a great passing team at all. Portland St hasn’t thrown for over 200 yards on the season, and they haven’t thrown more than 20 passes in a game yet. North Texas should be able to keep the Vikings in check. What worries me is if Portland St is running the ball well enough to establish some play action home run hitters. Those types of plays could be killers for the North Texas defense.
NORTH TEXAS RUN DEFENSE
VS.
PORTLAND ST. RUN OFFENSE
Edge
Symbol 2
Why
Portland St. is running the ball an average of 48 times a game. The Vikings will live and die with their physical pistol rushing attack. Most of Portland St.’s runs come off of some read option play with their QB Alex Kuresa. Kuresa is a very athletic QB and capable of putting up a big number against North Texas. Kuresa had 92 yards rushing against Washington St and is carrying the ball about 16 times a game. Portland St. also has a couple of backs capable of toting the rock. Nate Tago will get the start and he is only averaging 29 yards per game, but he had 69 last week against a tough North Dakota run defense. The other back who will see carries is David Jones. Don’t be surprised to see Portland St get their WR’s involved or their slash athletic backup QB/WR Paris Penn involved. This type of rushing attack will force North Texas to play fundamental football. Everyone has to do their job. Missed assignments have been plaguing the Mean Green defense along with scheme problems. For that reason you have to feel like Portland St. will be able to run the ball.
NORTH TEXAS DEFENSIVE LINE
VS.
PORTLAND ST. OFFENSIVE LINE
Symbol 2
Edge
Why
Right now there is no way you can have confidence in the North Texas defensive line. They have been shredded in back to back weeks. Portland St is big on the OL, but they aren’t Southern Miss or Iowa. I don’t feel confident in North Texas being able to consistently win battles, but the Mean Green should be able to dominate on passing downs. Portland St has given up 10 sacks on only 65 pass attempts. That would mean the Vikings QBs are being sacked 15% of the time. If Portland St was an FBS team that would rank 127th out of 128. J. Roberts should have big game and the North Texas DL should get 5+ sacks in this game. One note of concern would be Kuresa’s scrambling ability. He could convert some 3rd downs with his feet.
NORTH TEXAS PASS OFFENSE
VS.
PORTLAND ST. PASS DEFENSE
Edge
Symbol 2
Why
Portland St. only gave up 307 passing yards to Washington St which was WSU’s second lowest total of the season. The Vikings also held Western Oregon and Idaho St to under 200 yards passing. Both of those teams were averaging close to 250 yards passing. The Vikings have 8 INTs on the year which is quite an impressive total. That would rank them in the top 15 nationally among FBS schools. Safety Patrick Onwausor and Xavier Coleman lead the way in the Vikings secondary. Onwausor is a big athletic physical safety. The Vikings play a lot of zone defense, so there are voids to be found. I’m just not sold on Andrew McNulty being able to find them. I do think McNulty is going to struggle against Portland St. He will make a few plays, but because of his inconsistencies I can’t trust him. Consider this McNulty has had a bad game after every good game. Well he actually had a good game last week statistically speaking. (And when I say he had a good game I mean he had a good game by Mac standards, not the rest of college football.)He has never had back to back games where his QB rating was over 100 when he started. He had a QB rating over 100 last year against UAB and Southern Miss in back to back games, but he didn’t start at UAB. I do think Marcus Smith and Chris Loving have good days for North Texas. Smith and Loving should be able to sit down in those voids of the Portland St zone and be open.
NORTH TEXAS RUN OFFENSE
VS.
PORTLAND ST. RUN DEFENSE
Symbol 2
Edge
Why
North Texas will be going up against a stingy run defense. Portland St has held all of their opponents in check except for North Dakota. Looking deeper into the numbers it looks like Portland St may not have been facing good running teams to begin with outside of North Dakota. North Dakota had their RB and QB go over 100 yards rushing in the game. Not sure McNulty is going to go over a 100 yards, but J. Wilson should be able to. If North Texas uses their speed advantage and attacks the Vikings on the edges they should be able to hit some big plays. I’m not saying that NT can’t run up the middle either against Portland St, but I think it will be more difficult with Portland St.’s big defensive line.
NORTH TEXAS OFFENSIVE LINE
VS.
PORTLAND ST. DEFENSIVE LINE
Symbol 2
Edge
Why
North Texas is on pace to give up the most sacks since Dan McCarney has been the head coach. They are pretty much what I thought they were at the beginning of the year. Decent run blockers and poor pass blockers. North Texas should be able to win the battle against the Portland St DL. Portland St is big in the middle, but the Vikings do struggle getting off blocks at times. In pass rushing situations Portland St has no one with over 2 sacks and only 4 guys on the team who have registered a sack. Not saying they cant get to McNulty, but they shouldn’t be able to get to him as often as Southern Miss did.
NORTH TEXAS SPECIAL TEAMS
VS.
PORTLAND ST. SPECIAL TEAMS
Edge
Symbol 2
Why
Eric Keena continues to air beautiful punts. Keena has done a masterful job, now only if the UNT coverage teams could do better. Darvin Kidsy is only averaging 4.8 yards per return. That is not what we were expecting to see this year. For Portland St the Vikings have a dynamic kick returner in Kahlil Dawson. Dawson has a 94 yard TD return the year. The Vikings kicker Jonathan Gonzales has also been solid this year going 5 for 5 and nailing a 50 yarder against Idaho St.
Player Ratings
North Texas
Portland St.
Player/Overall Rating
Position
Player/Overall Rating
Andrew McNulty - 69
QB vs QB
Alex Kuresa - 71
Jeffery Wilison - 78
RB vs RB
Nate Tago - 68
Carlos Harris - 85
WR vs CB
Xavier Coleman - 67
Marcus Smith - 75
TE vs MLB
Jeremy Lutali - 76
Chris Davis - 75
CB vs WR
Paris Penn - 67
Kishawn McClain - 77
FS vs FS
Patrick Onwausor - 73

GAME PLAN FOR VICTORY 

How Portland St will Win

Portland St. will win if they are able to establish their running game. It will allow the Vikings to control the game. They will be able to control the time of possession and it will allow them to hit a few big plays in the passing game with play action. The Vikings would be able to wear down the North Texas DL. Portland St. needs to load up on the NT run game and force McNulty to beat them with his arm. If they force McNulty to throw into tight windows he is liable to make mistakes.

How North Texas will Win

North Texas will win if they are able to get J.Wilson going and continue to feed him all day long. North Texas will also need McNulty to be efficient. The feeling is that North Texas will lean on the run game heavily, but if Portland St loads up on the run then NT will need McNulty to make plays with his arm.  On defense North Texas has to get Portland St in 3rd down passing situations forcing the Vikings OL to pass block. If they do that NT should be able to get Portland St off the field.

Categories
Football

Talking North Texas QB Situation

North Texas has become a wasteland for QB play. However, the current head football coach continues to tell who will ever listen to him that the play from his starter is solid. I’m not sure how anyone in their right mind could call the play of his starting QB solid. No other coach in college football would do it. So why does Head Coach McCarney continue to tell everyone that? Does he know he is wrong? McCarney is beyond wrong, its borderline ludicrous. Coach the numbers don’t lie.

  • Andrew McNulty has a QB Rating of 95.73 which ranks him 122 out of 124 QBs nationally.
  • McNulty’s completions percentage is 47.6 which ranks him 119 out of 124 QBs nationally.
  • The Mean Green QBs completion percentage of 45.8% ranks 115
  • The Mean Green QBs rating of 93.6 ranks 118
  • The Mean Green QBs throw 19.5 incompletions per game which ranks 125
  • UNT ranks 89 in passing yards per game.

BUT WE HAVE PLAYED SOME TOUGH OPPONENTS

Oh Really?

  • Average QB rating given up by North Texas opponents – 157.4 which would rank 113
  • Average completion percentage given up by North Texas opponents – 59.6% which would rank 70
  • Average yards per game given up by North Texas opponents – 262 which would rank 94

The facts are that these numbers aren’t as bad as they should be. Do you want to know why? Well that’s because these averages were taken after these teams played North Texas. North Texas has played some really bad pass defenses ( SMU, Rice, Southern Miss), and they’ve made those teams look good. The fact is that not one QB on the North Texas roster is worthy of the words “gives us the best chance to win” statement.

DaMarcus Smith

Now we get into the curious case of DaMarcus Smith. The JUCO transfer QB that many North Texas fans were hoping to be the guy. The guy that just got thrown under the bus by Dan McCarney.

“I was really disappointed in the consistency of DaMarcus Smith when we did give him an opportunity.”

“He(DaMarcus Smith) made far too many mistakes. What you saw in the game is what we see in practice. He is inconsistent and makes too many mistakes.”

Coach your starter is just as inconsistent and makes mistakes too. Just letting you know

Ouch those comments hurt Coach. Especially when you set DaMarcus up for failure. First off if he was inconsistent in practice why would you play him? It goes against everything McCarney stands for. McCarney consistently puts a strong on emphasis on how a player practices. So if Smith proved to McCarney in practice that he wasn’t ready, why put him in the game? Was McCarney that desperate? Was McCarney just trying to appease the fan base? It just doesn’t make sense for a coach to say what Mac says, and then do what he did with Smith. McCarney is making the Cleveland Browns look smart when it comes to handling QB situations.

DaMarcus was given 10 plays in his playbook for this game. Canales was going to stay within those 10 plays. The full playbook was not available for use when Smith was on the field. So when DaMarcus changed a play on the field that was not in that 10 McCarney become hot. Smith was benched and McNulty was inserted back into the line-up. McCarney will likely continue to throw the “dirt” on Smith throughout the season now. Smith will most likely be confined to the ball cap and hand signals for a long time now.

The cherry on top is that North Texas will continue to march a 5th year senior out at QB in a season where there isn’t much hope instead of preparing for the future. North Texas might have 1 win going into November with no bowl hope and this staff wouldn’t change the QB. Proving that they have NO IDEA what they are doing when it comes to managing the QB.

 

I want to also say this befuddlement at the QB position isnt on McNulty, Smith, or Greer. They are out there doing what they can do. McNulty prepares well and dude is a tough competitor. Smith came in and tried to make plays. I’m not blaming them for anything. These kids are being set up for failure by the coaching staff. Its a shame they have to endure a situation like this.

Proof Dan McCarney doesnt know what solid QB play looks like:

In McCarney’s career as a Head Coach he has had

  • Only one top QB throw for over 3000 yards
  • Only one top QB throw 20 TDs in a season

Average numbers of top QBs through the years

55% completion percentage, 2093 yards, 6.9 yards per attempt, 12 TDs, 11 Ints, 118.86

That doesn’t exactly scream solid or good to me. Maybe solid for teams in the 70’s or 80’s.

Before the last game McNulty was on pace to throw more passes than Derek Thompson ever threw in one season. It would’ve been more passes attempted than Bret Meyer, and Sage Rosenfels too. So essentially McCarney trust McNulty more than those guys. He has to trust him more because he is willing to let his offense put the ball in the air more.  To me that is huge red flag.

Now DaMarcus Smith came in and took away some of McNulty’s passes so that lowered McNulty’s attempts per game from 35 to 31.5.

 

 

We all must be looking at different stats and film than Coach Mac. Its the only way to describe what is going on in Denton.

Categories
Football

Where Does North Texas Football Rank Among National Polls?

ESPN FPI – 128

 

USA Today – 120

 

CBS Sports – 122

 

Massey – 124

 

Sargin – 176 (out of 253, ranked behind 49 FCS schools)

 

Football Outsiders – 127

 

FEI– 124

 

S&P+ Ratings– 128

 

Categories
Football

MGN CUSA Power Rankings: Week 6

CUSA Power Rankings Week 6

Thoughts:

Best team performance of the week: Western Kentucky

Worst team performance of the week: Rice

Best unit of the week: Southern Miss Defense

Worst unit of the week: North Texas Defense (8.3 Yards per play)

Coach in desperate need of W: Dan McCarney

WTH: UMass held FIU to under 200 yards of offense

  • Charlotte, North Texas, UTEP are all kinds of bad.
  • I knew Western Kentucky would beat a Rice team, by at least 21, but they looked really good.
  • MTSU missed an opportunity against Vandy and shouldnt have lost that game.
  • FIU lost to a good FCS school. Will C-USA lose another one this week when NT takes on Portland St?
Categories
Breakdowns Football

The Break Down: Southern Miss

Game Information

Time: October 3, 2015 6:00 pm CT

Location: M.M. Roberts Stadium, Hattiesburg, Miss

Line: Southern Miss -16.5

TV: Fox College Sports

Radio: KHYI 95.3 FM KNTU 88.1 FM KGAF 1580 AM

Weather: Partly sunny, with a high near 74. North wind 5 to 10 mph.


Team Information

Southern Miss

North Texas


 

North Texas
 
Southern Miss
National Rank
Category
National Rank
108
Scoring Offense
40
118
Scoring Defense
108
74
Rushing Offense
95
100
Rushing Defense
114
87
Passing Offense
11
94
Passing Defense
111
92
Total Offense
19
110
Total Defense
118
95
Yards Per Play
19
99
OPP Yards Per Play
102
110
Points Per Play
45
110
OPP Points Per Play
106
45
3rd Conversion
75
127
Opp 3rd Conversion
80
72
QB Sacked %
82
13
Def Sack %
87
118
TO Margin
56
Play Call Percentages
North Texas Offense
Southern Miss Defense
Run %
Down
Run %
59%

1st Down
62%

43%

2nd Down
49%

34%

3rd Down
40%

North Texas Offense
Southern Miss Defense
Pass %
Down
Pass %
41%

1st Down
38%

57%

2nd Down
51%

66%

3rd Down
60%

North Texas Defense
Southern Miss Offense
Run %
Down
Run %
74%

1st Down
57%

54%

2nd Down
40%

51%

3rd Down
34%

North Texas Defense
Southern Miss Offense
Pass %
Down
Pass %
26%

1st Down
43%

46%

2nd Down
60%
49%

3rd Down
66%


Yards Per Play
North Texas Offense
Southern Miss Defense
Average
Down
Average
5.5
1st Down
6.7
3.8
2nd Down
6.6
5.8
3rd Down
5.3
North Texas Offense
Southern Miss Defense
Run
Down
Run
5.3
1st Down
6.5
4.3
2nd Down
5.5
2.8
3rd Down
1.9
North Texas Offense
Southern Miss Defense
Pass
Down
Pass
5.9
1st Down
7
3.5
2nd Down
7.7
7.4
3rd Down
7.6
North Texas Defense
Southern Miss Offense
Average
Down
Average
5.5
1st Down
7.9
7.7
2nd Down
6.6
7.5
3rd Down
5.9
North Texas Defense
Southern Miss Offense
Run
Down
Run
4.3
1st Down
6.1
5.9
2nd Down
4.7
5.0
3rd Down
0.5
North Texas Defense
Southern Miss Offense
Pass
Down
Pass
8.9
1st Down
10.3
9.9
2nd Down
7.9
10.2
3rd Down
8.7
QB Rating By Down
North Texas Offense
Southern Miss Defense
Down
114.48
1st Down
125.33
60.82
2nd Down
147.46
113.38
3rd Down
154.86
North Texas Defense
Southern Miss Offense
Down
162.86
1st Down
147.99
187.74
2nd Down
145
209.33
3rd Down
179.33
Inside the Matchups
NORTH TEXAS PASS DEFENSE
VS.
SOUTHERN MISS PASS OFFENSE
Edge
Symbol 2
Why
If you give Nick Mullens time he will pick you apart. The JR QB has really grown up since getting his first start against North Texas as a FR. He has plenty of weapons surrounding him and should have a big day. Casey Martin is Mullens favorite target and the leading WR for USM. Martin has 25 receptions on the year. Two other big time playmakers in the Golden Eagles passing game are WR Mike Thomas and RB Ito Smith. Thomas had 76 yards receiving against NT last year. The North Texas secondary has been struggling the past two weeks. The Mean Green need someone to help Chad Davis out who has been NT’s best coverage man. Ashton Preston looked like a freshman last week with a few missed assignments. Preston will be targeted a lot this week when he on the field.
NORTH TEXAS RUN DEFENSE
VS.
SOUTHERN MISS RUN OFFENSE
Edge
Symbol 2
Why
Southern Miss is another team that features the zone blocking scheme that North Texas struggles with. Jalen Richard & Ito Smith are both dynamic backs that will have good days against North Texas. Smith had 95 yards rushing last year against NT.
NORTH TEXAS DEFENSIVE LINE
VS.
SOUTHERN MISS OFFENSIVE LINE
Edge
Symbol 2
Why
Coach Mac said that Southern Miss is very improved on the OL and he is right. They rotate 8 or 9 guys throughout the game. North Texas will have their hands full trying to stop the run game and trying to find any way to pressure Mullens. North Texas is looking for some guys to step up on the DL. J. Roberts has been playing very well and Roderick Young has also play well. Outside of those two there hasn’t been a whole lot of production from the DL.
NORTH TEXAS PASS OFFENSE
VS.
SOUTHERN MISS PASS DEFENSE
Symbol 2
Edge
Why
North Texas fans will probably call me crazy for giving NT the edge here. Southern Miss is not great at defending the pass. McNulty should be able to find some open guys. Big plays are there for the taking. One of McNulty's best games was last year against USM. McNulty is coming off a bad game, so he is due to rebound with a solid performance.
NORTH TEXAS RUN OFFENSE
VS.
SOUTHERN MISS RUN DEFENSE
Symbol 2
Edge
Why
Southern Miss is really struggling to stop the run right now. North Texas is coming off a pretty good performance against a stingy run defense. Jeffery Wilson, Ivery, and Jimmerson will be too much to handle.
NORTH TEXAS OFFENSIVE LINE
VS.
SOUTHERN MISS DEFENSIVE LINE
Edge
Symbol 2
Why
I thought the North Texas OL did a good job against Iowa last week. It will be interesting to see who get the majority of the playing time at LT this week. Coach Mac also said that Southern Miss is improved in the DL play. I gave Southern Miss the edge here because North Texas has struggled with teams that play with a guy over the center.
NORTH TEXAS SPECIAL TEAMS
VS.
SOUTHERN MISS SPECIAL TEAMS
Edge
Symbol 2
Why
Outside of Eric Keena I've been pretty disappointed with the North Texas special teams. I'm still waiting on Darvin Kidsy to make a play. Trevor Moore has missed a few kicks. The coverage units have also been sloppy.
Player Ratings
North Texas
Southern Miss
Player/Overall Rating
Position
Player/Overall Rating
Andrew McNulty - 69
QB vs QB
Nick Mullens - 80
Jeffery Wilison - 78
RB vs RB
Jalen Richard - 72
Carlos Harris - 85
WR vs CB
Kalan Reed - 73
Chris Loving - 74
TE vs Spur LB
Sherrod Ruff - 72
Chris Davis - 77
CB vs WR
Mike Thomas - 76
Zac Whitfield - 75
CB vs WR
Casey Martin - 74

 

GAME PLAN FOR VICTORY 

How Southern Miss will Win

Southern Miss is trying to take a big step on Saturday. This is a game they should absolutely dominate. North Texas is usually an un-prepared road team and is struggling in all the areas that Southern Miss is excelling at. That being said Southern Miss still has to prove they are as good as I think they can be. They will win this game if they focus on what they do well and dont overlook North Texas. Give Mullens time to pick apart the defense and sprinkle in the run game when needed. On defense they just need to force North Texas to throw it deep. Take away Chris Loving and Marcus Smith underneath and force McNulty to go to his 2nd and 3rd read. If they do that they will end up with a lot sacks and ints.

How North Texas will Win

North Texas will win if they are able to establish Wilson and ride him to the victory. North Texas must dominate T.O.P and keep the defense off the field. Wilson is the key to doing that. Carlos Harris needs to have a big game like last year. He is the only target that McNulty trusts, and the only guy he can consistently hit. The defense will need to find ways to pressure Mullens. He is not immune from mistakes and will stare down a WR now and again. North Texas must give him multiple looks and avoid letting him just stand in there and pick the Mean Green apart. Finally the special teams has to make 2 or 3 big plays to help set the offense.